足球吧 发表于 2025-3-25 11:03:27

Could Ronaldo or Messi play in 2026

Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi have defined football for two decades, but theWc 2026 raises a bittersweet question: ​Could these legends grace the tournament one last time? With Ronaldo turning ​41 and Messi ​39 by 2026, we analyze their realistic chances based on current form, national team dynamics, and historical precedents.
​Table of Contents​Age and Physical Realities​Current Club Form: MLS vs Saudi Pro League​National Team Futures: Portugal and Argentina’s Plans​Historical Precedents: Oldest World Cup Players​Expert Predictions and Likelihood​FAQs (Retirement plans, replacements, etc.)​1. Age and Physical RealitiesNo outfield player in World Cup history has started a match past age 40. Here’s how Ronaldo and Messi compare:
​Player        ​Age in 2026        ​2024 Club Minutes        ​Recent Injury HistoryCristiano Ronaldo        41        2,890 (Al Nassr)        Minor knee strain (2023)Lionel Messi        39        1,950 (Inter Miami)        Hamstring (missed 8 games in 2024)Key Challenges:
​Recovery Time: Muscle injuries take 2–3x longer to heal post-35.​Speed Decline: Ronaldo’s sprints dropped from 33.4 km/h (2018) to 30.1 km/h (2024).​Tournament Load: 2026 will have ​7 matches in 30 days for finalists.​2. Current Club Form: MLS vs Saudi Pro League​Cristiano Ronaldo (Al Nassr)​2024 Stats: 32 goals in 34 games; 3rd in Saudi Pro League scoring.​Role: Central striker, fewer defensive duties.​Limitation: League’s low intensity (ranked 27th globally) masks fitness gaps.​Lionel Messi (Inter Miami)​2024 Stats: 14 goals, 12 assists in 22 games; MLS Best XI lock.​Role: Deep-lying playmaker, avoids high-press systems.​Edge: MLS’s summer break (March–October) allows longer offseason recovery.​3. National Team Futures​Portugal’s Dilemma​New Stars: Gonçalo Ramos (23), João Neves (19), and Rafael Leão (25) are ascending.​Manager Roberto Martínez: Prefers youth; dropped Ronaldo for 2024 friendlies.​Path to 2026: Ronaldo must accept a super-sub role (like Pepe at 39 in 2022).​Argentina’s Sentimental Choice​Scaloni’s Loyalty: “If Leo wants to play, we’ll carry him in a wheelchair” (2023 quote).​Reality Check: Messi played just 56 mins in 2024 wc qualifiers; Julián Álvarez is now the main #10.​Wildcard: Coppa América 2024 performance could sway Scaloni.​4. Historical PrecedentsOnly three outfield players over 38 have featured in a World Cup:
​Roger Milla (Cameroon, 42 in 1994): Scored at 42 but started 0 games.​Essam El-Hadary (Egypt GK, 45 in 2018): Played 1 group game.​Pepe (Portugal, 39 in 2022): Started 4 games but struggled vs Morocco’s speed.Takeaway: Non-goalkeepers over 40 are tactical gambles, not starters.
​5. Expert Predictions​Paul Merson (Sky Sports): “Ronaldo’s ego won’t accept a bench role. 10% chance.”​Gabriela Marcotti (ESPN): “Messi might get a farewell sub appearance if Argentina qualifies early.”​Opta Analyst: Ronaldo’s 2026 chances: 8%; Messi: 15%.
wcqualifiershttps://www.wcqualifiers.com/wc2026https://www.wcqualifiers.com/
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